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Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.6M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Price history

Yes
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Prices move as people trade.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Polymarket's original rules apply.