Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.6M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Rules ↓

Price history

Yes

—

Loading…

Prices move as people trade.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Same topic: Nuclear11%
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Same topic: Nuclear9%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Same topic: Nuclear3%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Same topic: Nuclear17%
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Same topic: Nuclear55%
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Same topic: Nuclear7%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Polymarket's original rules apply.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Price history

Related markets

Related markets