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Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?24h $253.9K Vol.71%+2.5 pp

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?24h $226.8K Vol.42%-8 pp

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?24h $184.6K Vol.23%-9 pp

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?24h $144.9K Vol.12%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?24h $144.6K Vol.10%-1 pp

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Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?24h $48.1K Vol.9%+3.1 pp Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?24h $31.3K Vol.39%-9.5 pp

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?24h $138.4K Vol.8%-4 pp

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US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?24h $59.3K Vol.21%-4 pp US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?24h $52.6K Vol.42%-1.4 pp

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?24h $102.6K Vol.38%+14 pp

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Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?24h $17.4K Vol.72%+25.5 pp Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?24h $2.9K Vol.57%+19.5 pp

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?24h $96.8K Vol.98%+1.1 pp

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Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?24h $50.1K Vol.2%-0.2 pp

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?24h $37.1K Vol.<1%-18.1 pp

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Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?24h $22.8K Vol.11%+0.2 pp Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?24h $17.2K Vol.40%

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?24h $18.4K Vol.<1%-1.1 pp

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Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?24h $16.5K Vol.1%-6.8 pp Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?24h $13.8K Vol.5%-6.7 pp

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