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Will there be exactly 1 government shutdown by December 31, 2027?37%

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Will there be exactly 2 government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?32%Will there be 3 or more government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?24h $500 Vol.14%

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?24h $495.6 Vol.12%+0.5 pts

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?24h $484.4 Vol.97%+0.5 pts

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Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?2%-0.2 pts Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?<1%

Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?24h $483.4 Vol.93%+29.8 pts

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Will Sebastian Cehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?4%+0.1 pts Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?1%-0.1 pts

Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?24h $480.5 Vol.89%+7 pts

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Will Su Ching-chuan win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?24h $10 Vol.11%

Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?24h $477.3 Vol.2%-0.4 pts

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 45% or more?24h $476.5 Vol.66%+1.8 pts

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?30%-2.5 pts Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?<1%+0.1 pts

New US State admitted during Trump's term?24h $475.1 Vol.3%-2.4 pts

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2027?15%-3 pts

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Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2027?24h $96.4 Vol.14%-2 pts Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?24h $398.8 Vol.5%-1.4 pts

Will Kelly Morrison be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31?46%-0.5 pts

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Will Angie Craig be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31?24h $280.6 Vol.20%+1 pts Will Betty McCollum be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31?24h $180 Vol.6%-3.2 pts

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?24h $221.5 Vol.42%+4.5 pts

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Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?24h $122.7 Vol.20%+1.5 pts Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?24h $109.5 Vol.4%-0.9 pts

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?4%

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