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Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?19%
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Will Russia invade another country in 2026?3%-0.5 ppWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?39%+9.5 pp
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Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?61%-7.5 ppWill Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?<1%Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?88%-0.5 pp
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Will Trump and Putin not meet?10%-1 ppWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?<1%-0.1 ppNext White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?39%+3.5 pp
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Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?70%+1 ppIsraeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?27%-1 pp
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Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?16%-3 ppWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?91%+0.7 pp
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Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?5%+0.9 ppWill Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?<1%Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?90%+7.8 pp
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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?10%-7.1 ppWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?70%+44.1 pp
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Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?23%-42.4 ppWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?<1%-0.6 ppPrices shown are indicative, not executable quotes. Check the live order book before trading.




















