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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?92%

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?9%-0.3 pts

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?47%-4.5 pts

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Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?12%-4 pts Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?10%

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?88%-0.8 pts

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?13%+0.7 pts

Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US not enter a recession by the end of 2027?66%-0.8 pts

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Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US enter a recession by the end of 2027?3%+2.3 pts

Will Guy Cormier win the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election?95%

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Will Zumretay Arkin win the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election?4%+0.5 pts Will Nimâ Machouf win the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election?1%-1.5 pts

Will Camilo Santana be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?31%-2 pts

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Will Wellington César Lima e Silva be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?25%Will Márcio França be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?3%+0.2 pts

Belgium snap election called by December 31?13%+0.5 pts

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 3%-6%?95%

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 9%-12%?5%-12.8 pts Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 3%-6%?2%

Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?15%

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Will José Múcio be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?15%Will Celso Amorim be the next Brazilian Minister of Defense?5%+0.5 pts

Will Pierre Céré win the 2026 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie by-election?63%-4 pts

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Will Jean-Sébastien Vallée win the 2026 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie by-election?61%-1.5 pts Will Alexandre Curzi win the 2026 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie by-election?7%-0.5 pts

Will the loser of the Kansas Senate election concede by November 3?99%

Will the loser of the Iowa Senate election concede by November 3?18%

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