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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?30%

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Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?83%+0.5 pts

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Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?74%+4 pts

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Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?26%+1.5 pts

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Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?95%

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Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?78%

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?68%-1 pts

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Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?17%-1 pts

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Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?4%-0.2 pts

Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?7%+1.7 pts

ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?9%

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?63%+0.5 pts

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