Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
12.5%Yes · chance24h -6 pp
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Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
3.1%Yes · chance24h -2.9 pp
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
97.3%Yes · chance24h +4.8 pp
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
14.5%Yes · chance24h -5.5 pp
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?
53.5%Yes · chance24h -2.5 pp
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?
79.5%Yes · chance24h +10 pp
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
95%Yes · chance24h +5 pp
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?
85%Yes · chance24h +1 pp
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
12.5%Yes · chance24h -1 pp
24h -2 pp