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Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

98%Yes · chance

Yes 98¢No 2¢

24h +5 pp

Ends Aug 31, 2028

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

30%Yes · chance

Yes 30¢No 70¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Nov 8, 2028

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

15%Yes · chance

Yes 15¢No 85¢

24h +1 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

James Comey charges dropped by December 31?

20.5%Yes · chance

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

24h +2.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

11.5%Yes · chance

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Jan 2, 2027

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

4.6%Yes · chance

Yes 4.6¢No 95.4¢

24h +0.9 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

0.6%Yes · chance

Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢

24h $528.3 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?

2.2%Yes · chance

Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?

64.5%Yes · chance

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

24h -3 pp

24h $4.8K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

4.4%Yes · chance

Yes 4.4¢No 95.7¢

24h +1.3 pp

24h $2.3K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

14%Yes · chance

Yes 14¢No 86¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1.5%Yes · chance

Yes 1.5¢No 98.6¢

24h $66.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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