Markets that matter to you

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

29%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?

95.4%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by December 31?

6%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?

2.9%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?

98%Yes · chance

24h +1.1 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

65%Yes · chance

Ends Apr 18, 2027

Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?

80%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Jan 17, 2027

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

11.5%Yes · chance

24h +1.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

10.5%Yes · chance

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

23%Yes · chance

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Dec 1, 2026

Daejon Love convicted of fraud or conspiracy by June 30?

40%Yes · chance

24h -1 pp

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-01 House election?

2%Yes · chance

24h +6.1 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved