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Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?

3.2%Yes · chance

Yes 3.2¢No 96.8¢

24h $3.2K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?

5.5%Yes · chance

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?1.3%

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

9%Yes · chance

Yes 9¢No 91¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?

10%Yes · chance

Yes 10¢No 90¢

24h +4.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

Will seltzers with 5mg THC be legal on November 13, 2026?

96.9%Yes · chance

Yes 96.9¢No 3.2¢

Ends Nov 14, 2026

Will seltzers with 5mg THC be legal on March 13, 2027?36%

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?

41%Yes · chance

Yes 41¢No 59¢

24h -4 pp

24h $2.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?14%

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

38%Yes · chance

Yes 38¢No 62¢

24h -1 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?

3.9%Yes · chance

Yes 3.9¢No 96.2¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

ME-02 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?

99.5%Yes · chance

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?0.4%

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?

2.6%Yes · chance

Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?

25.5%Yes · chance

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

24h -1.5 pp

24h $15.8 Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?

99.7%Yes · chance

Yes 99.7¢No 0.3¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?<0.1%

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