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Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?

29%Yes · chance

Yes 29¢No 71¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?

86%Yes · chance

Yes 86¢No 14¢

24h +1 pp

Ends Feb 7, 2027

Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by...?

Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?

15%Yes · chance

Yes 15¢No 85¢

24h -1 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?

81.5%Yes · chance

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

Ends Feb 7, 2027

Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?

84%Yes · chance

Yes 84¢No 16¢

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Feb 7, 2027

Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?11%

Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?

3%Yes · chance

Yes 3¢No 97¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Sokoto, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?

68%Yes · chance

Yes 68¢No 32¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Feb 7, 2027

Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Baba Wali win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election?

86.5%Yes · chance

Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢

Ends Feb 7, 2027

Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Dauda Lawal win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?

78%Yes · chance

Yes 78¢No 22¢

Ends Feb 7, 2027

Cross River, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?

84%Yes · chance

Yes 84¢No 16¢

Ends Feb 7, 2027

Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?12%

Nigerian Senate Election Winner

Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?

80%Yes · chance

Yes 80¢No 20¢

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Jan 17, 2027

Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

25%Yes · chance

Yes 25¢No 75¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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