Markets that matter to you

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?

3.6%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?

4%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?

4%Yes · chance

24h -1 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?

34%Yes · chance

24h $20 Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

2.6%Yes · chance

24h $47.2 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

97.4%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

6%Yes · chance

24h $29.8 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

2.3%Yes · chance

24h -0.7 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

3.5%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?

94.5%Yes · chance

Ends Jul 26, 2027

Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?

69.5%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

24h $100 Vol. · Ends Jul 26, 2027

Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?

27%Yes · chance

24h +1.5 pp

Ends Jul 1, 2027