Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
88%Yes · chance24h +3 pp
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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1.6%Yes · chance
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?
92%Yes · chance24h +6 pp
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
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76.5%Yes · chance24h -3 pp
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23.8%Yes · chance24h +1.9 pp
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?
95.5%Yes · chance24h +7.5 pp
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
95%Yes · chance24h +7.4 pp
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through December 31?
77%Yes · chance24h +14 pp
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?
89.5%Yes · chance24h +5.5 pp
24h -1.7 pp
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?
0.7%Yes · chance24h -4 pp
