Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
12.3%Yes · chance24h -1.5 pp
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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
24h +1 pp
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?
18.5%Yes · chance24h +0.5 pp
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
16.5%Yes · chance24h +1 pp
Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
2.1%Yes · chance
Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?
50%Yes · chance24h +24 pp
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
1.6%Yes · chance
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?
Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?
11.5%Yes · chance24h -0.5 pp
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
5%Yes · chanceRussia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
97.9%Yes · chance24h +0.5 pp
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by November 30?
79%Yes · chance24h +1 pp