Markets that matter to you

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

2%Yes · chance

24h -1.4 pp

24h $3.5K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by December 31?

4%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?

2.1%Yes · chance

24h +0.9 pp

24h $30 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

89.2%Yes · chance

Ends Jun 7, 2027

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by December 31?

14%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

4%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?

15%Yes · chance

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?

98.7%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?

69%Yes · chance

24h -1 pp

24h $148.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

10.5%Yes · chance

24h +2 pp

24h $266K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?

1.3%Yes · chance

24h $3.8 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

99.8%Yes · chance

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