Markets that matter to you

Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?

96.2%Yes · chance

24h $120 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

80.9%Yes · chance

24h -21.4 pp

24h $122.6 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

98.1%Yes · chance

24h $71.5 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

97.5%Yes · chance

24h -1.5 pp

24h $386.8 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?

12%Yes · chance

24h $23.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

90%Yes · chance

24h +4 pp

24h $38.8 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

89.5%Yes · chance

24h +1.5 pp

24h $4.6K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

98%Yes · chance

24h $102.8K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

33%Yes · chance

24h $4.5K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

0.7%Yes · chance

24h $11.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

1.7%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

1.5%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027