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Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?

3.9%Yes · chance

Yes 3.9¢No 96.1¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

3.1%Yes · chance

Yes 3.1¢No 97¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?

14%Yes · chance

Yes 14¢No 86¢

24h -3 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?

87%Yes · chance

Yes 87¢No 13¢

24h +9 pp

24h $1.1K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

3.5%Yes · chance

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95.9%Yes · chance

Yes 95.9¢No 4.1¢

24h $200 Vol. · Ends Apr 18, 2027

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

10.4%Yes · chance

Yes 10.4¢No 89.6¢

24h +6.8 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

19%Yes · chance

Yes 19¢No 81¢

24h -5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

49.5%Yes · chance

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2029

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

27%Yes · chance

Yes 27¢No 73¢

24h +2.5 pp

24h $37.9 Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

5%Yes · chance

Yes 5¢No 95¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

10%Yes · chance

Yes 10¢No 90¢

24h -3.5 pp

24h $35.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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