Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
6.1%Yes · chance24h -1.4 pp
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Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?
84.5%Yes · chance24h +5.5 pp
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
5.5%Yes · chance
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
36.5%Yes · chance24h -7 pp
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
2.9%Yes · chance
X banned in any European country by December 31?
9.5%Yes · chance
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
16%Yes · chance24h +2 pp
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
22.5%Yes · chance24h +3.5 pp
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
4.2%Yes · chance
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
2.9%Yes · chance
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
5.5%Yes · chance24h -3 pp