Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
9%Yes · chance24h -16.9 pp
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LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
51%Yes · chance24h -1.5 pp
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
5.5%Yes · chance24h -0.5 pp
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
6.1%Yes · chanceNext Senate Majority Leader?
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
89.5%Yes · chance24h -3 pp
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
24%Yes · chance24h -1.5 pp
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
66%Yes · chance24h -4 pp
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
8.5%Yes · chance
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
1%Yes · chance
California voter ID referendum passes?
1.6%Yes · chanceBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
8%Yes · chance24h -1 pp