Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
8%Yes · chance24h -1 pp
Loading…
Markets that matter to you
Use a supported existing Polymarket wallet to find markets, track changes, manage positions and trade.
Explore markets
Newest source events first.
Prices shown are indicative, not executable quotes. Check the live order book before trading.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
US military draft authorized in 2026?
1.7%Yes · chance
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
9%Yes · chance24h -9.5 pp
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
11%Yes · chance24h -0.5 pp
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
1.6%Yes · chance24h -1.6 pp
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
4.8%Yes · chance24h -1 pp
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?
3.3%Yes · chance24h -0.8 pp
Iran leadership change by...?
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
22.5%Yes · chance24h -0.5 pp
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1.4%Yes · chance
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
10%Yes · chance24h -0.5 pp
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?
5.5%Yes · chance24h -0.7 pp
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
0.5%Yes · chance24h -1.5 pp