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Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

0.5%Yes · chance

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

24h -1.5 pp

24h $229.9 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

1%Yes · chance

Yes 1¢No 99.1¢

24h $319.5 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

93.7%Yes · chance

Yes 93.7¢No 6.3¢

24h +1.7 pp

24h $6.7K Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

2.8%Yes · chance

Yes 2.8¢No 97.3¢

24h $7.4K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

1.9%Yes · chance

Yes 1.9¢No 98.1¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

3.3%Yes · chance

Yes 3.3¢No 96.8¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?

41%Yes · chance

Yes 41¢No 59¢

24h -0.5 pp

24h $0.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

SBF released from custody in 2026?

1.6%Yes · chance

Yes 1.6¢No 98.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

1.4%Yes · chance

Yes 1.4¢No 98.7¢

24h -2.9 pp

24h $299.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by December 31?

18%Yes · chance

Yes 18¢No 82¢

24h -1 pp

24h $2.6K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

17.5%Yes · chance

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

24h +3 pp

24h $409.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

1.6%Yes · chance

Yes 1.6¢No 98.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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