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Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?3.4%
Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?20.1%

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?

65.6%Yes · chance

Yes 65.6¢No 34.4¢

Ends Jun 7, 2027

Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?1.4%
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?29%

AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 35%-40%?

2.4%Yes · chance

Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?81%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 0%-15%?2.9%

AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?

1.4%Yes · chance

Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢

24h +1 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%?0.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 10%-15%?94.6%

AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?

1.6%Yes · chance

Yes 1.6¢No 98.5¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 50%-55%?7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 45%-50%?77.7%

AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?

2.8%Yes · chance

Yes 2.8¢No 97.3¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?2.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%?91%

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more?

0.2%Yes · chance

Yes 0.2¢No 99.8¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%?93%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 6%-9%?3.3%

CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?

2%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?57%

AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 30%-35%?

0.7%Yes · chance

Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 20%-25%?16%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 10%-20%?95.3%

AL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 25%-30%?

0.4%Yes · chance

Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 30%-35%?1.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 10%-20%?97.3%

AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 40%-45%?

0.4%Yes · chance

Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢

24h -0.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 30%-35%?1.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 25%-30%?97.3%

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