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Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

2.3%Yes · chance

Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢

24h -0.8 pp

24h $1.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?

2.6%Yes · chance

Yes 2.6¢No 97.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

1.8%Yes · chance

Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢

24h $318.8 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

2.7%Yes · chance

Yes 2.7¢No 97.4¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

3.4%Yes · chance

Yes 3.4¢No 96.7¢

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

2.6%Yes · chance

Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢

24h +0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

7.2%Yes · chance

Yes 7.2¢No 92.8¢

24h +3.6 pp

24h $10 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

1.7%Yes · chance

Yes 1.7¢No 98.4¢

24h -6.4 pp

24h $3.7K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?

5.4%Yes · chance

Yes 5.4¢No 94.7¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

13%Yes · chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

Ends May 1, 2027

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

24h -1 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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