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Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

2.6%Yes · chance

Yes 2.6¢No 97.4¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

7.2%Yes · chance

Yes 7.2¢No 92.8¢

24h +3.6 pp

24h $10 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

1.7%Yes · chance

Yes 1.7¢No 98.4¢

24h -6.9 pp

24h $3.8K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?

5.4%Yes · chance

Yes 5.4¢No 94.7¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

13%Yes · chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

Ends May 1, 2027

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

24h -1 pp

24h $66.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

TN-04 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?

95.8%Yes · chance

Yes 95.8¢No 4.2¢

24h +0.9 pp

24h $117.7 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?2.5%

SC-02 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?

98.5%Yes · chance

Yes 98.5¢No 1.6¢

24h -0.5 pp

24h $3.1K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?1.2%

NC-07 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?

98.8%Yes · chance

Yes 98.8¢No 1.3¢

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?1.3%

WA-05 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?

<0.1%Yes · chance

Yes 0.1¢No 100¢

24h -1.2 pp

24h $2.7K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?>99.9%

NC-10 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-10 House seat?

0.5%Yes · chance

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

24h $191.4 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republican Party win the NC-10 House seat?99.7%

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