Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
14.5%Yes · chance24h -2.5 pp
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Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
24h -2 pp
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?
1.7%Yes · chance24h -1.2 pp
Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000?
0.5%Yes · chance24h -0.7 pp
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MLB: NL Rookie of the Year
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
1.2%Yes · chance24h +0.6 pp
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#2 Spotify Artist 2026
24h +1 pp
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
Will 210 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?
23.5%Yes · chance24h +2 pp
#2 AI Lab end of January? (Style Control On)
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027?
28%Yes · chance24h -5 pp