Markets that matter to you

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

63.2%Yes · chance

24h +10.3 pp

24h $32.8K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

1.8%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?

84%Yes · chance

24h -3 pp

24h $311.9 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?

1.8%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

10%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Eric Adams charged by December 31?

8.5%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?

7%Yes · chance

24h -1.2 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

0.8%Yes · chance

24h $131 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

1.7%Yes · chance

24h $725.2 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

79.5%Yes · chance

24h +5.4 pp

24h $383.8 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

1.4%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?

1.4%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027