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Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

6%Yes · chance

Yes 6¢No 94¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by March 31?

Yes —No —

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Ends Apr 1, 2027

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Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

2.5%Yes · chance

Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?

6.6%Yes · chance

Yes 6.6¢No 93.4¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2027?

Yes —No —

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

11.8%Yes · chance

Yes 11.8¢No 88.2¢

24h -0.9 pp

Ends Jun 7, 2027

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• Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?68%
• Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?10%

Malaysian parliament dissolved by..?

Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?

7.5%Yes · chance

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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• Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?24%

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?

88%Yes · chance

Yes 88¢No 12¢

24h -1.4 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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