Markets that matter to you

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

6.5%Yes · chance

24h -1.5 pp

24h $401.6 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?

4.9%Yes · chance

24h -4.1 pp

24h $211.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 4, 2027

Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

96.5%Yes · chance

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

1.5%Yes · chance

24h $530 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

EU dissolves before 2027?

1.4%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

3.2%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?

3.2%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

68.5%Yes · chance

24h -5 pp

24h $13.2K Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?

77.5%Yes · chance

24h -1 pp

24h $81 Vol. · Ends Feb 1, 2027

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

8%Yes · chance

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Will Donald Trump visit West Virginia in 2026?

77%Yes · chance

24h +10.5 pp

Ends Jan 2, 2027

Will Russia enter Borova by December 31, 2026?

7%Yes · chance

Ends Jan 1, 2027