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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
9.5%Yes · chance24h +1 pp
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
Another Canada election called by...?
Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?
4.2%Yes · chance24h -0.8 pp
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by...?
24h -5 pp
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
27.5%Yes · chance24h -2.5 pp
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
80.9%Yes · chance24h +4.1 pp
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?
7.6%Yes · chance24h +0.9 pp
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
13.4%Yes · chance24h +2.9 pp
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
10%Yes · chance24h +2.5 pp
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
64.1%Yes · chance24h +1.4 pp