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John Fetterman out by...?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

4.7%Yes · chance

Yes 4.7¢No 95.3¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?

4.5%Yes · chance

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

2.4%Yes · chance

Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

36%Yes · chance

Yes 36¢No 64¢

24h -1 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by December 31, 2027?

36%Yes · chance

Yes 36¢No 64¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2028

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

10%Yes · chance

Yes 10¢No 90¢

24h -0.5 pp

24h $1.7K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next French Presidential Election

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

45.3%Yes · chance

Yes 45.3¢No 54.8¢

24h -0.5 pp

24h $92.1K Vol. · Ends Apr 19, 2027

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

2.3%Yes · chance

Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

82.3%Yes · chance

Yes 82.3¢No 17.8¢

24h -4.2 pp

24h $181.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by...?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2027?

25%Yes · chance

Yes 25¢No 75¢

24h +2.5 pp

24h $32.9 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Iran Nuke before 2027?

2.4%Yes · chance

Yes 2.4¢No 97.6¢

24h $4.3K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

1.4%Yes · chance

Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢

24h $316.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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