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Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

6.5%Yes · chance

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

NATO dissolves before 2027?

1.6%Yes · chance

Yes 1.6¢No 98.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

2.6%Yes · chance

Yes 2.6¢No 97.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

8.1%Yes · chance

Yes 8.1¢No 92¢

24h -0.7 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

0.8%Yes · chance

Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

13.5%Yes · chance

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

24h +1.8 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

4.7%Yes · chance

Yes 4.7¢No 95.4¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

1.4%Yes · chance

Yes 1.4¢No 98.6¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?

1.5%Yes · chance

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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