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Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

6.2%Yes · chance

Yes 6.2¢No 93.8¢

24h $32 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

2.4%Yes · chance

Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢

24h $1.7K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?

83%Yes · chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

24h -1.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?2.6%

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

3.7%Yes · chance

Yes 3.7¢No 96.3¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

2.8%Yes · chance

Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢

24h +1.3 pp

24h $5.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?

37.5%Yes · chance

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

5%Yes · chance

Yes 5¢No 95.1¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

11%Yes · chance

Yes 11¢No 89¢

24h -1 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?

13%Yes · chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

24h +3 pp

24h $58.8 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1.1%Yes · chance

Yes 1.1¢No 99¢

24h $1.7K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

2.1%Yes · chance

Yes 2.1¢No 98¢

Ends Mar 1, 2027

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

5%Yes · chance

Yes 5¢No 95.1¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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