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Will Venezuela become 51st state?

1.2%Yes · chance

Yes 1.2¢No 98.8¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

1.8%Yes · chance

Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

1%Yes · chance

Yes 1¢No 99¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027?7.5%

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

8.5%Yes · chance

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

3.5%Yes · chance

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

1.8%Yes · chance

Yes 1.8¢No 98.3¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Maduro guilty of all counts?

28%Yes · chance

Yes 28¢No 72¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?

3.5%Yes · chance

Yes 3.5¢No 96.6¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

2.5%Yes · chance

Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Tim Walz in jail by...?

Tim Walz in jail by December 31?

1.1%Yes · chance

Yes 1.1¢No 99¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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