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Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?

1.1%Yes · chance

Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢

Ends Apr 1, 2027

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• Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?96.2%
• Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?3.1%

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?

7.5%Yes · chance

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2027?

Yes —No —

Ukraine peace referendum passed by...?

Ukraine peace referendum passed by December 31, 2026?

2.8%Yes · chance

Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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• Ukraine peace referendum passed by June 30, 2027?7.5%
• Ukraine peace referendum passed by December 31, 2027?32%

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

2%Yes · chance

Yes 2¢No 98¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

96.2%Yes · chance

Yes 96.2¢No 3.8¢

24h +0.5 pp

Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

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• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?3.5%