Markets that matter to you

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1%Yes · chance

24h $382.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 25%-30%?

96.6%Yes · chance

24h -0.6 pp

24h $381.1 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

70.5%Yes · chance

24h -2 pp

24h $380.2 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Ilhan Omar resign by December 31, 2026?

1.5%Yes · chance

24h -1.5 pp

24h $378.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?

93.5%Yes · chance

24h +42 pp

24h $363.3 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026?

7.5%Yes · chance

24h +1.5 pp

24h $360.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Aidan Hutchinson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?

9.5%Yes · chance

24h -6.5 pp

Ends Jan 28, 2027

Lima: Hugo Dellien vs Tristan Boyer

24h $28.6 Vol. · Ends Nov 16, 2026

Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?

10.5%Yes · chance

24h +2 pp

24h $78.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?

78.5%Yes · chance

24h +1 pp

24h $235.5 Vol. · Ends Jan 18, 2027