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Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

11.5%Yes · chance

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Will Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?

Yes —No —

No active quote right now · check the order book

Ends Apr 1, 2027

Will Gavin Newsom announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?

Yes —No —

No active quote right now · check the order book

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?

2.7%Yes · chance

Yes 2.7¢No 97.3¢

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

8.5%Yes · chance

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

2.9%Yes · chance

Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢

24h $36.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 4, 2027

India strike on Pakistan by...?

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

4.5%Yes · chance

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

24h -4 pp

24h $3.6K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

99.4%Yes · chance

Yes 99.4¢No 0.7¢

24h $926.5 Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

98.9%Yes · chance

Yes 98.9¢No 1.1¢

24h +0.7 pp

24h $82.8K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

11.5%Yes · chance

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

24h -1 pp

24h $550.5 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

98.9%Yes · chance

Yes 98.9¢No 1.2¢

24h $25.8K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?1.1%

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

99.4%Yes · chance

Yes 99.4¢No 0.7¢

24h $4.4K Vol. · Past the scheduled end · still open for orders until resolved

Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?0.3%

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

6%Yes · chance

Yes 6¢No 94¢

24h -3 pp

24h $7.6K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

24h -0.8 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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