Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
6.5%Yes · chance24h -0.5 pp
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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
1.6%Yes · chanceFrench election called by...?
French election called by December 31, 2026?
2.9%Yes · chance24h -1.9 pp
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?
8%Yes · chanceWill Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
4.5%Yes · chance
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
1.3%Yes · chanceWill Trump be impeached by...?
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?
57.5%Yes · chanceErdoğan out by...?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?
28%Yes · chance
Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?
68.5%Yes · chance24h -0.5 pp
