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Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
Will any country leave NATO by...?
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
3.1%Yes · chanceUkraine election held by...?
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
2.5%Yes · chanceWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
2.5%Yes · chanceWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
3.5%Yes · chanceTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
1.8%Yes · chanceFrench election called by...?
French election called by December 31, 2026?
5.1%Yes · chanceWill Argentina dollarize by...?
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?
2.2%Yes · chanceWill the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
24h -0.5 pp
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
