Markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

11.5%Yes · chance

$77.7M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

97.9%Yes · chance

$4.4M Vol. · Ends Jun 3, 2026

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

1.8%Yes · chance

$2.4M Vol. · Ends Jun 3, 2026

Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?

28.6%Yes · chance

$529.3K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?

71.7%Yes · chance

$426K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

10.5%Yes · chance

$812.2K Vol. · Ends Nov 16, 2026

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

9.3%Yes · chance

$217.6K Vol. · Ends Nov 3, 2026

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

90.3%Yes · chance

$209.5K Vol. · Ends Nov 3, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

25.5%Yes · chance

$1.4M Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

44.5%Yes · chance

$5.3M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

6.8%Yes · chance

$2.6M Vol. · Ends Apr 19, 2027

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

1.1%Yes · chance

$126.7K Vol. · Ends Nov 3, 2026

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

40.6%Yes · chance

$5M Vol. · Ends Apr 19, 2027

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

15.9%Yes · chance

$6.6M Vol. · Ends Apr 19, 2027

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

14%Yes · chance

$98.3K Vol. · Ends Nov 6, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

0.2%Yes · chance

$101.4K Vol. · Ends Nov 6, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

3.2%Yes · chance

$91.3K Vol. · Ends Nov 6, 2026