Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11.5%Yes · chance24h -5 pp
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US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
>99.9%Yes · chanceUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
>99.9%Yes · chance
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
9.5%Yes · chance
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
91.7%Yes · chance24h +79.2 pp
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
22.5%Yes · chance24h +1 pp
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
5.7%Yes · chance24h -73.7 pp
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
43.7%Yes · chance24h +1.6 pp
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
0.6%Yes · chance24h -4.4 pp