Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11.5%Yes · chance24h -4 pp
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US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
>99.9%Yes · chanceUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
>99.9%Yes · chance
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
9.5%Yes · chanceUS announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
22.5%Yes · chance24h +1 pp
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
43.5%Yes · chance24h +3 pp