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Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

48%Yes · chance

Yes 48¢No 52¢

Indicative prices

24h +23.5 pp

24h $10.1K Vol. · Ends Mar 1, 2027

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Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?

37%Yes · chance

Yes 37¢No 63¢

Indicative prices

24h -4.5 pp

24h $1.5K Vol. · Ends Mar 1, 2027

Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

0.4%Yes · chance

Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?

38%Yes · chance

Yes 38¢No 62¢

Indicative prices

24h -4 pp

24h $3.5K Vol. · Ends Mar 1, 2027

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Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?

0.6%Yes · chance

Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

12.4%Yes · chance

Yes 12.4¢No 87.6¢

Indicative prices

24h +4.2 pp

24h $829.8 Vol. · Ends Mar 1, 2027

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Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

11.6%Yes · chance

Yes 11.6¢No 88.4¢

Serbian presidential election called by...?

Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?

99.8%Yes · chance

Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢

Indicative prices

24h $96 Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

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Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026?

21%Yes · chance

Yes 21¢No 79¢

LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?

35.6%Yes · chance

Yes 35.6¢No 64.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +25.4 pp

24h $415.2 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?

<0.1%Yes · chance

Yes 0.1¢No 100¢

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?

85.5%Yes · chance

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.5 pp

24h $2.4K Vol. · Ends Jan 3, 2027

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Will John Barrasso be the next US Senate Minority Leader?

4.3%Yes · chance

Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

89%Yes · chance

Yes 89¢No 11¢

Indicative prices

24h +2.5 pp

24h $101 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will 1 Independent be elected to Congress in 2026?

17%Yes · chance

Yes 17¢No 83¢

Indicative prices

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

Will Giedrius Dainys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?

7%Yes · chance

Yes 7¢No 93.1¢

Indicative prices

24h -5.8 pp

24h $200 Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2026

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Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?

49%Yes · chance

Yes 49¢No 51¢

Next Premier of British Columbia

Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?

99.2%Yes · chance

Yes 99.2¢No 0.8¢

Indicative prices

24h +2.7 pp

24h $2.1K Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?

<0.1%Yes · chance

Yes 0.1¢No 100¢

Indicative prices

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

11.5%Yes · chance

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -5.5 pp

24h $117.5 Vol. · Ends Dec 31, 2027

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Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

9%Yes · chance

Yes 9¢No 91¢

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?

22%Yes · chance

Yes 22¢No 78¢

Indicative prices

24h -12.5 pp

24h $1.8K Vol. · Ends Jun 30, 2027

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Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?

70%Yes · chance

Yes 70¢No 30¢

Indicative prices

24h +8.5 pp

24h $1.6K Vol. · Ends Jun 30, 2027

Denmark snap election called by December 31?

2.2%Yes · chance

Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢

Indicative prices

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?

Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?

Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?

Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?

Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?

Will John Barrasso be the next US Senate Minority Leader?

Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

Will 1 Independent be elected to Congress in 2026?

Will Giedrius Dainys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?

Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?

Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?

Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?

Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?

Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?

Denmark snap election called by December 31?

Explore markets

Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?

Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?

Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?

Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?

Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?

Will John Barrasso be the next US Senate Minority Leader?

Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

Will 1 Independent be elected to Congress in 2026?

Will Giedrius Dainys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?

Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?

Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?

Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?

Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?

Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?

Denmark snap election called by December 31?

Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?

Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader?

Will 2 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

Will Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?

Will Dallas Brodie be the next Premier of British Columbia?

Will Iain Black win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?