Markets that matter to you

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

2.3%Yes · chance

24h -1.6 pp

24h $9.2K Vol. · $145.3K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31?

14.5%Yes · chance

24h -1 pp

24h $9.1K Vol. · $9.2K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

3.5%Yes · chance

24h +1.4 pp

24h $8.9K Vol. · $2.7M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

43.5%Yes · chance

24h +4.1 pp

24h $3.1K Vol. · $5.9K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

50.8%Yes · chance

24h -1.9 pp

24h $2.9K Vol. · $5.3K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

2.5%Yes · chance

24h $1.4K Vol. · $5.6K Vol. · Ends Nov 4, 2026