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Greenland snap election called by December 31?

4.8%Yes · chance

Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢

Indicative prices

24h $327.5 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

57.5%Yes · chance

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $14.7 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

3.8%Yes · chance

Yes 3.8¢No 96.3¢

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Will Carsten Linnemann be the next Chancellor of Germany?

4.3%Yes · chance

Yes 4.3¢No 95.8¢

Indicative prices

24h +3.4 pp

24h $108.7 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2030

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Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?

66.5%Yes · chance

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election

Will Susana Mendoza win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

5.9%Yes · chance

Yes 5.9¢No 94.1¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.3 pp

24h $187.7 Vol. · Ends Apr 6, 2027

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Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

73%Yes · chance

Yes 73¢No 27¢

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be under 45 years old?

37%Yes · chance

Yes 37¢No 63¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Aug 31, 2028

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Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 45-54 years old?

25.5%Yes · chance

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?

Knafo 12.9¢Zemmour 87.1¢

Indicative prices

24h $68.8 Vol. · Ends Apr 18, 2027

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by...?

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by December 31, 2026?

17%Yes · chance

Yes 17¢No 83¢

Indicative prices

24h +7 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by March 31, 2027?

38%Yes · chance

Yes 38¢No 62¢

Indicative prices

Ends Apr 1, 2027

Next UK by-election called by…?

Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?

25.5%Yes · chance

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?

12.3%Yes · chance

Yes 12.3¢No 87.8¢

Indicative prices

24h +5 pp

24h $968.6 Vol. · Ends Aug 1, 2027

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Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?

13%Yes · chance

Yes 13¢No 87.1¢

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

99%Yes · chance

Yes 99¢No 1¢

Indicative prices

End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

0.3%Yes · chance

Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢

Indicative prices

End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

5.7%Yes · chance

Yes 5.7¢No 94.4¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.3 pp

24h $5.1 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

94.5%Yes · chance

Yes 94.5¢

Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

99.2%Yes · chance

Yes 99.2¢No 0.8¢

Indicative prices

24h +9 pp

24h $218.1 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democratic Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

0.7%Yes · chance

Yes 0.7¢

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Greenland snap election called by December 31?

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

Will Carsten Linnemann be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?

Will Susana Mendoza win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be under 45 years old?

Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 45-54 years old?

2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by December 31, 2026?

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by March 31, 2027?

Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?

Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

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Greenland snap election called by December 31?

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

Will Carsten Linnemann be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?

Will Susana Mendoza win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be under 45 years old?

Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 45-54 years old?

2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by December 31, 2026?

Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by March 31, 2027?

Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?

Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?

Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Will Danielle Carter-Walters win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

Will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee be 55-64 years old?

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?

Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?