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France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?

4.5%Yes · chance

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -0.5 pp

24h $583.1 Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by...?

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by November 30?

3.3%Yes · chance

Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢

Indicative prices

24h $1 Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

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Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by December 31?

12.5%Yes · chance

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

Indicative prices

Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?

26%Yes · chance

Yes 26¢No 74¢

Indicative prices

24h +8.5 pp

24h $1.2 Vol. · Ends Apr 1, 2027

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

8%Yes · chance

Yes 8¢No 92¢

Indicative prices

24h $32.3 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Senate Combo: Mississippi, South Carolina, Montana

Will Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and Republicans win Montana?

54%Yes · chance

Yes 54¢No 46¢

Indicative prices

24h +1 pp

24h $40 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Republicans win the Mississippi and Montana Senate seats, and Democrats win South Carolina?

10%Yes · chance

Yes 10¢

Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...?

Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?

4.5%Yes · chance

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -4.5 pp

24h $308 Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

SCOTUS accepts Mahmoud Khalil case by...?

Will SCOTUS accept the Mahmoud Khalil case by December 31, 2026?

43%Yes · chance

Yes 43¢No 57¢

Indicative prices

24h -6.5 pp

24h $3.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Will SCOTUS accept the Mahmoud Khalil case by June 30, 2027?

53%Yes · chance

Yes 53¢No 47¢

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

1.9%Yes · chance

Yes 1.9¢No 98.1¢

Indicative prices

24h $50.9K Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

98.2%Yes · chance

Yes 98.2¢

Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?

3.1%Yes · chance

Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢

Indicative prices

24h $3.1 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will the Knesset pass the "Defendant Law" by January 31, 2027?

31.5%Yes · chance

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

Indicative prices

Ends Feb 1, 2027

Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

49%Yes · chance

Yes 49¢No 51¢

Indicative prices

24h -9 pp

24h $15 Vol. · Ends Mar 1, 2027

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Will Amir Ohana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

10%Yes · chance

Yes 10¢No 90.1¢

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by...?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?

<0.1%Yes · chance

Yes 0.1¢No 100¢

Indicative prices

24h $259.9 Vol. · Ends Nov 7, 2026

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Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13?

35.5%Yes · chance

Yes 35.5¢No 64¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

Ends Nov 14, 2026

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France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by November 30?

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by December 31?

Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

Will Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and Republicans win Montana?

Will Republicans win the Mississippi and Montana Senate seats, and Democrats win South Carolina?

Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?

Will SCOTUS accept the Mahmoud Khalil case by December 31, 2026?

Will SCOTUS accept the Mahmoud Khalil case by June 30, 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?

Will the Knesset pass the "Defendant Law" by January 31, 2027?

Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

Will Amir Ohana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13?

Explore markets

France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by November 30?

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by December 31?

Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

Will Democrats win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and Republicans win Montana?

Will Republicans win the Mississippi and Montana Senate seats, and Democrats win South Carolina?

Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?

Will SCOTUS accept the Mahmoud Khalil case by December 31, 2026?

Will SCOTUS accept the Mahmoud Khalil case by June 30, 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?

Will the Knesset pass the "Defendant Law" by January 31, 2027?

Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

Will Amir Ohana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13?

Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by March 31?

Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Will Merav Ben Ari be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?