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Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by...?

Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by December 31?

46%Yes · chance

Yes 46¢No 54¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

24h $1.4 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?

France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?

0.5%Yes · chance

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $6.4K Vol. · Ends Nov 16, 2026

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France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?

2.3%Yes · chance

Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢

Indicative prices

24h $71.4 Vol. ·

France declares state of emergency by...?

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

5.5%Yes · chance

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -1 pp

24h $12.7K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner

Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

58.5%Yes · chance

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +4.5 pp

End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

43%Yes · chance

Yes 43¢No 57¢

Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?

Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?

36.5%Yes · chance

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +1 pp

24h $3.4K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

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Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?

22.5%Yes · chance

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)

Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?

81.5%Yes · chance

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -1.5 pp

24h $100 Vol. · Ends May 19, 2027

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Will Charles "Bruiser" Martin be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?

5.7%Yes · chance

Yes 5.7¢No 94.3¢

Kentucky Governor Democratic Primary Winner (2027)

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?

54.5%Yes · chance

Yes 54.5¢No 45.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -3.5 pp

Ends May 19, 2027

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Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?

45%Yes · chance

Yes 45¢No 55¢

Next Press Secretary announced by...?

Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?

29.5%Yes · chance

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

Indicative prices

24h -8 pp

24h $24.2K Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

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Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

62.5%Yes · chance

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

Next Press Secretary?

Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?

2.9%Yes · chance

Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢

Indicative prices

24h $841 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2028

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Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?

2.9%Yes · chance

Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

30.5%Yes · chance

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

Indicative prices

24h +2 pp

24h $19.6K Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

2.1%Yes · chance

Yes 2.1¢No 97.9¢

Next President of FIFA

Will Claudio Tapia be the next President of FIFA?

5%Yes · chance

Yes 5¢No 95¢

Indicative prices

24h -4.5 pp

24h $250.1 Vol. · Ends Mar 19, 2027

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Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA?

75.5%Yes · chance

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?

Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?

11%Yes · chance

Yes 11¢No 89¢

Indicative prices

24h $2.1K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?

13%Yes · chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

Indicative prices

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Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by December 31?

France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?

France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?

Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?

Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?

Will Charles "Bruiser" Martin be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?

Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?

Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?

Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?

JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

Will Claudio Tapia be the next President of FIFA?

Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA?

Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?

Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?

Explore markets

Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by December 31?

France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?

France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?

Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?

Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?

Will Charles "Bruiser" Martin be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?

Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?

Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?

Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?

JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

Will Claudio Tapia be the next President of FIFA?

Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA?

Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?

Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?

Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?

Will Brett St. Amand be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?

Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?

Another candidate is the 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

Will Aleksander Čeferin be the next President of FIFA?