Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?
44%Yes · chance24h -15.5 pp
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Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
1.4%Yes · chance
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
2.7%Yes · chance24h +0.5 pp
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
3.2%Yes · chance24h -0.6 pp
Government shutdown by December 12?
26.5%Yes · chance24h -7.5 pp
24h +2 pp
24h -2.5 pp
Government shutdown by December 31?
30.5%Yes · chance24h -10 pp
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5.1%Yes · chance24h -2.3 pp