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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

47.5%Yes · chance

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

$1.3M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

10.5%Yes · chance

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

$16.7M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump out as President before 2027?

3.9%Yes · chance

Yes 3.9¢No 96.2¢

$14M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?

41.5%Yes · chance

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

$83.2K Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?

30.5%Yes · chance

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

$77.1K Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?

58.5%Yes · chance

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

$75.5K Vol. · Ends Nov 16, 2026

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