Markets

Trump out as President before 2027?

3.9%Yes · chance

$14M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

48.5%Yes · chance

$1.3M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

33.7%Yes · chance

$1.7M Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

15.5%Yes · chance

$1.5M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Iran leadership change by November 30?

3.4%Yes · chance

$743.8K Vol. · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Iran leadership change by December 31?

7.5%Yes · chance

$5.9M Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

67.5%Yes · chance

$1.5M Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

34%Yes · chance

$211K Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

25%Yes · chance

$539.5K Vol. · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?

<0.1%Yes · chance

$137K Vol. · Ends Nov 29, 2026