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Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by...?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?

<0.1%Yes · chance

Yes 0.1¢No 100¢

Indicative prices

24h $259.9 Vol. · Ends Nov 7, 2026

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Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13?

36%Yes · chance

Yes 36¢No 64¢

Indicative prices

24h -5.5 pp

Ends Nov 14, 2026

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?

83%Yes · chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

Indicative prices

24h +6.5 pp

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

17%Yes · chance

Yes 17¢No 83¢

Indicative prices

24h -16.5 pp

24h $252.6 Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2028

FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 0%-5%?

57.3%Yes · chance

Yes 57.3¢No 42.8¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.6 pp

24h $224.7 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 5%-10%?

34.6%Yes · chance

Yes 34.6¢

2028 Presidential Election: New Jersey Winner

Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?

86%Yes · chance

Yes 86¢No 14¢

Indicative prices

24h +1 pp

24h $218.1 Vol. · Ends Nov 8, 2028

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Will the Republicans win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?

9%Yes · chance

Yes 9¢No 91¢

UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election?

2.5%Yes · chance

Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢

Indicative prices

24h -2.8 pp

24h $202 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 5%-15%?

50%Yes · chance

Yes 50¢

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?

38%Yes · chance

Yes 38¢No 62¢

Indicative prices

24h -21.5 pp

24h $182 Vol. · Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 10% by December 31?

11.5%Yes · chance

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 30%-35%?

5.2%Yes · chance

Yes 5.2¢No 94.8¢

Indicative prices

24h +1.9 pp

24h $148.8 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 25%-30%?

4.5%Yes · chance

Yes 4.5¢

Spain General Election: Huelva Winner

Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

61.5%Yes · chance

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

Indicative prices

24h $148.2 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

31.5%Yes · chance

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?

7.4%Yes · chance

Yes 7.4¢No 92.6¢

Indicative prices

24h +7.4 pp

24h $135.7 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?

1.5%Yes · chance

Yes 1.5¢

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?

65.6%Yes · chance

Yes 65.6¢No 34.4¢

Indicative prices

24h +4 pp

24h $119 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?

2.1%Yes · chance

Yes 2.1¢

KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election?

0.7%Yes · chance

Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢

Indicative prices

24h -1.7 pp

24h $88.5 Vol. · End date has passed; source still shows orders accepted. Check market rules.

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 5%-10%?

79.8%Yes · chance

Yes 79.8¢

Spain General Election: Segovia Winner

Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?

99%Yes · chance

Yes 99¢No 1¢

Indicative prices

24h $50 Vol. · Ends Nov 30, 2026

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Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?

0.7%Yes · chance

Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢

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Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 5%-10%?

Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?

Will the Republicans win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 5%-15%?

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 10% by December 31?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 25%-30%?

Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?

Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 5%-10%?

Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Explore markets

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13?

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 5%-10%?

Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?

Will the Republicans win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 5%-15%?

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 10% by December 31?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 30%-35%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 25%-30%?

Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?

Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 5%-10%?

Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 10%-15%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 20%-25%?

Will Vox win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?

Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 0%-5%?

Will Vox win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?